tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Wichita via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:02 MSP → 20:10 ORD
    AA 4465 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 08m · 80% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 ORD → 23:18 ICT
    AA 3913 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 19mMSP 18:02 to ICT 23:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.