tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:00 DTW → 07:47 LGA
    AA 4477 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 87% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 LGA → 11:25 DFW
    AA 1987 · American · 3h 50m · 81% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 25mDTW 06:00 to DFW 11:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.