tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 DTW → 07:47 LGA
    AA 4477 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 87% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:07 LGA → 10:40 BUF
    AA 4379 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 40mDTW 06:00 to BUF 10:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.