tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 DTW → 07:47 LGA
    AA 4477 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 87% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 LGA → 11:08 ORF
    AA 4473 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 08mDTW 06:00 to ORF 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.