tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Portland via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 DTW → 07:47 LGA
    AA 4477 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 87% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 LGA → 10:33 PWM
    AA 4502 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 33mDTW 06:00 to PWM 10:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.