tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Richmond: arrives on time 92%

  1. 07:50 LGA → 09:32 RIC
    AA 4486 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:36 RIC → 14:21 DTW
    DL 3166 · Delta · 1h 45m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 31mLGA 07:50 to DTW 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.