tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 12:15 PWM → 14:21 ORD
    AA 4488 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 06m · 78% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:27 ORD → 21:00 JFK
    B6 406 · JetBlue · 2h 36m · 80% on time, 9.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (9.1% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 48mPWM 12:15 to JFK 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.