tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Nantucket via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:59 DCA → 11:25 LGA
    AA 4491 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 LGA → 14:01 ACK
    AA 4546 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 86% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 02mDCA 09:59 to ACK 14:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.