tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:43 LGA → 09:13 DCA
    AA 4491 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 DCA → 13:00 MDW
    WN 1445 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 17mLGA 07:43 to MDW 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.