Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Panama City Beach via Washington: arrives on time 45%

  1. 07:43 LGA → 09:13 DCA
    AA 4491 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 DCA → 11:24 ECP
    AA 4747 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 69% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 41mLGA 07:43 to ECP 11:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.