tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Baltimore via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:30 LGA → 08:14 RDU
    AA 4494 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 98% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:18 RDU → 12:28 BWI
    WN 1059 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 58mLGA 06:30 to BWI 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.