tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Nashville via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:30 LGA → 08:14 RDU
    AA 4494 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 98% on time, 9.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 RDU → 10:47 BNA
    AA 4344 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (9.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 17mLGA 06:30 to BNA 10:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.