tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 12:00 RIC → 13:28 ORD
    AA 4500 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 ORD → 21:17 MIA
    AA 2323 · American · 3h 12m · 61% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip9h 17mRIC 12:00 to MIA 21:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.