tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:32 RIC → 15:00 LGA
    AA 4501 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 61% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 LGA → 19:15 DFW
    AA 1608 · American · 4h 15m · 63% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 43mRIC 13:32 to DFW 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.