tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Fort Lauderdale via New York: arrives on time 26%

  1. 13:32 RIC → 15:00 LGA
    AA 4501 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 61% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 LGA → 19:10 FLL
    AA 3196 · American · 3h 15m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 38mRIC 13:32 to FLL 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.