Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Richmond → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 36%
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13:32 RIC → 15:00 LGAAA 4501 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 61% on time, 1.9% cancelled
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1h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORDAA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled
Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 36mRIC 13:32 to ORD 18:08, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.