tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 73%

  1. 11:17 PWM → 12:46 LGA
    AA 4502 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 LGA → 16:52 DTW
    AA 4630 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 05m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 33mPWM 11:17 to DTW 16:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.