tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 06:13 CHA → 07:35 ORD
    AA 4512 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 ORD → 13:30 EWR
    AA 2250 · American · 2h 20m · 64% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 17mCHA 06:13 to EWR 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.