tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:00 DSM → 06:39 ORD
    AA 4519 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 11:44 DEN
    AA 1744 · American · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 44mDSM 05:00 to DEN 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.