tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:00 DSM → 06:39 ORD
    AA 4519 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 34mDSM 05:00 to DTW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.