tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:00 DSM → 06:39 ORD
    AA 4519 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:30 ORD → 10:03 DTW
    AA 4103 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip4h 04mDSM 05:00 to DTW 10:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.