tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:00 DSM → 06:39 ORD
    AA 4519 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:03 ORD → 13:26 LGA
    UA 669 · United · 2h 23m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 26mDSM 05:00 to LGA 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.