tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:02 BUF → 07:24 LGA
    AA 4522 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 LGA → 11:25 DFW
    AA 1987 · American · 3h 50m · 81% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 23mBUF 06:02 to DFW 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.