tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Washington via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 60%

  1. 08:00 PIT → 09:28 RDU
    AA 4531 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 RDU → 11:56 DCA
    AA 5581 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 21m · 68% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip3h 56mPIT 08:00 to DCA 11:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.