tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Columbus via Washington: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:30 JFK → 07:59 DCA
    AA 4538 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 81% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:12 DCA → 11:45 CMH
    AA 4405 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 16mJFK 06:30 to CMH 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.