tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → New York via Washington: arrives on time 54%

  1. 10:45 ACK → 12:32 DCA
    AA 4543 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 DCA → 16:29 JFK
    AA 4781 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 62% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 44mACK 10:45 to JFK 16:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.