tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:38 ACK → 17:28 PHL
    AA 4545 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 50m · 75% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 PHL → 21:38 CLT
    AA 1661 · American · 2h 03m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 00mACK 15:38 to CLT 21:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.