tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Boston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 51%

  1. 15:38 ACK → 17:28 PHL
    AA 4545 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 50m · 75% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:59 PHL → 21:49 BOS
    DL 5714 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 50m · 70% on time, 10.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (10.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 11mACK 15:38 to BOS 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.