tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:32 ACK → 16:00 LGA
    AA 4546 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 77% on time, 14.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LGA → 19:18 CLT
    AA 1320 · American · 2h 18m · 62% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (14.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 46mACK 14:32 to CLT 19:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.