tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:32 ACK → 16:00 LGA
    AA 4546 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 77% on time, 14.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 LGA → 20:31 CLT
    AA 1942 · American · 2h 18m · 67% on time, 14.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (14.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (14.1% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 01mACK 14:32 to CLT 20:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.