tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:50 DCA
    AA 4549 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 05m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 DCA → 14:38 MIA
    AA 1627 · American · 2h 43m · 76% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 200 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 05m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 38mSDF 06:00 to MIA 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.