tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Washington: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:50 DCA
    AA 4549 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:24 DCA → 10:28 BNA
    AA 5085 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 64% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 30mSDF 06:00 to BNA 10:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.