tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Washington: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:50 DCA
    AA 4549 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 DCA → 11:25 LGA
    AA 4491 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 25mSDF 06:00 to LGA 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.