tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Charleston via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:31 JFK
    AA 4551 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 JFK → 12:04 CHS
    DL 5015 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 04mDCA 06:00 to CHS 12:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.