tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Syracuse via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:31 JFK
    AA 4551 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:10 JFK → 10:41 SYR
    DL 5436 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 31m · 89% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 41mDCA 06:00 to SYR 10:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.