tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Boston via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:31 JFK
    AA 4551 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:24 JFK → 09:48 BOS
    AA 4376 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip3h 48mDCA 06:00 to BOS 09:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.