tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → White Plains via Washington: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:10 ACK → 18:55 DCA
    AA 4553 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 11.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 DCA → 23:29 HPN
    AA 5289 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 24m · 61% on time, 10.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (11.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (10.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 19mACK 17:10 to HPN 23:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.