tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Boston via Washington: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:10 ACK → 18:55 DCA
    AA 4553 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 11.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 DCA → 22:19 BOS
    AA 4382 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 67% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (11.6% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 11mACK 17:10 to BOS 22:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.