tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → New York via Washington: arrives on time 49%

  1. 17:10 ACK → 18:55 DCA
    AA 4553 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 11.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DCA → 23:44 LGA
    AA 4660 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 14m · 70% on time, 21.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (11.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (21.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 34mACK 17:10 to LGA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.