tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 15:57 RDU → 17:41 ORD
    AA 4563 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 44m · 60% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 ORD → 23:02 CVG
    AA 3366 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 41m · 88% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 05mRDU 15:57 to CVG 23:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.