tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:02 MEM → 09:50 LGA
    AA 4564 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 48m · 87% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:51 LGA → 14:28 ATL
    AA 4605 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 24mMEM 06:02 to ATL 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.