tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Phoenix via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 12:13 PIT → 13:55 JFK
    AA 4568 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 86% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 JFK → 19:31 PHX
    AA 2339 · American · 5h 31m · 78% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip10h 18mPIT 12:13 to PHX 19:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.