tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Boston via New York: arrives on time 61%

  1. 13:51 MVY → 15:11 LGA
    AA 4570 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 85% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 LGA → 19:23 BOS
    AA 4374 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 73% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 33mMVY 13:51 to BOS 19:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.