tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Boston via New York: arrives on time 52%

  1. 13:51 MVY → 15:11 LGA
    AA 4570 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 85% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:00 LGA → 18:33 BOS
    DL 5725 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 69% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 42mMVY 13:51 to BOS 18:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.