tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Miami via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 TUL → 10:14 LGA
    AA 4581 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 14m · 87% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:09 LGA → 14:21 MIA
    AA 3076 · American · 3h 12m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 21mTUL 06:00 to MIA 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.