tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:41 CHS → 08:48 LGA
    AA 4586 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 07m · 94% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:44 LGA → 11:30 ORD
    AA 3100 · American · 2h 46m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charleston). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 49mCHS 06:41 to ORD 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.