tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 08:51 PIT → 10:30 JFK
    AA 4587 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 93% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 JFK → 14:57 RDU
    AA 4658 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 74% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 06mPIT 08:51 to RDU 14:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.