tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:05 ATL → 08:30 LGA
    AA 4595 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 LGA → 11:08 ORF
    AA 4473 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 03mATL 06:05 to ORF 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.