tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:05 ATL → 08:30 LGA
    AA 4595 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 LGA → 12:00 RDU
    AA 4496 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 57m · 93% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 55mATL 06:05 to RDU 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.