tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Miami via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:23 IND → 14:33 LGA
    AA 4601 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 10m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 LGA → 19:06 MIA
    AA 3017 · American · 3h 36m · 72% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 43mIND 12:23 to MIA 19:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.